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Which summer movies will be hits/misses?

Next week on this blog I will preview the summer movies month by month in advance of my review of the first big’un, Iron Man. Before I get going on that, however, I wanted to get you all thinking about this year’s lineup and talk about which summer movies are going to be blockbusters, and which will simply be busts.

Here’s how I break down some of the highlights of summer. I’ll tackle the whole list next week.

MOST LIKELY TO SUCCEED: Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull - George Lucas may already be steeling himself for complaints about the movie (guess all the griping about the Star Wars prequels got to him). Still, even IF …. IF people perceive this movie as a Phantom Menace-level disappointment, it still clears $300 million. You can take that to the bank. After all, Phantom Menace cleared $400 million, and people talk about it like it should have made 40 cents.

MOST LIKELY TO BE THE BEST MOVIE: WALL-E - The folks at Pixar are geniuses, plain and simple. They’re taking a bit of a gamble by making the movie almost dialogue-free, but if anyone can sell that, it’s these guys.

EVEN BIGGER THAN PEOPLE THINK: Sex and the City - No other film so squarely hits the sweet spot for women this year. When I saw its trailer in front of Definitely, Maybe, EVERY female in the audience went “OOOOOOO!”

NOT AS BIG AS PEOPLE THINK: The X Files: I Want to Believe: Sure, the geeks will come out, but what about everyone else? The first movie didn’t quite make it to $85 million.

MOST LIKELY TO DISAPPOINT (again): The Incredible Hulk, for reasons already stated.

MOST LIKELY STAR VEHICLE TO FAIL: The Love Guru - Have you SEEN the trailer? Ack. And putting it directly against the much funnier-looking Get Smart seems like suicide.

MOST LIKELY TO BE THE WORST MOVIE: Postal - Uwe Boll-S*

Talk back and tell me which summer movies will either ring your bell or hit the gong. Click here for a list to jog your memory.

Permalink | Comments (3) | Post your comment | Categories: Coming Attractions

Comments

By Sir Critic

April 28, 2008 12:07 PM | Link to this

No need for embarrassment, Erica. I’m a guy, and I quite liked “Traveling Pants” myself. That movie will do very solid business, especially now that all four leads have had strong careers.

By Erica

April 27, 2008 9:01 PM | Link to this

This is the first summer in a long time that I have definite plans to see multiple movies on their opening weekends. Indiana Jones, Sex and the City, Get Smart, X-Files, Batman and … my embarrassing guilty pleasure … Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants 2. And I kicked it all off with Harold and Kumar this weekend (which felt like summer for the most part). Wasn’t as entertaining as White Castle, but was still good for a laugh. It’s nice to have lots of movies that I actually want to see again.

By SRCputt

April 24, 2008 3:16 PM | Link to this

I just saw the Tropic Thunder trailer for the first time yesterday and I expect that one to surprise. It’s good to see Ben Stiller directing again, and Robert Downey Jr cracked me up in that trailer. And that’s not accounting for Jack Black as well. Although it must be said the trailers that have me most excited so far are Wall-E and Get Smart, which makes me laugh every time I see it.
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