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another jittery industry
Book publishers are hoping that we buy lots of books this holiday season. Here’s the story from the New York Times:
November 11, 2008
Booksellers and Publishers Nervous as Holiday Season Approaches
By MOTOKO RICH
“For the book industry the question for the forthcoming holiday shopping season may be whether more people are like Francisco Clough or like Jacqueline Belliveau. Both were browsing in the Barnes & Noble on Union Square in Manhattan late last week, but Mr. Clough only looked, while Ms. Belliveau bought her second book in two days.
Dressed in a black suit and carrying a zippered leather portfolio, Mr. Clough, 36, said he had quit his job at a small brokerage firm on Wall Street six months ago. Fresh from a job interview, he flipped through a “Green Lantern” graphic novel but didn’t buy it. “There were probably five books I would have bought if I were not unemployed,” he said.
Ms. Belliveau, on the other hand, bought Carole Walter’s “Great Cookies,” just a day after purchasing Michael Pollan’s “In Defense of Food.” An architect who was laid off recently, she has turned down invitations to travel and downgraded her gym membership. She has found another job, but Ms. Belliveau, 40, is still being careful about expenses — except books. “I like to have a collection of the history of what you read,” she said.
Like many businesses across the retail sector, the publishing industry has been hit by a raft of doom and gloom in the past few weeks. Leonard S. Riggio, chairman and largest shareholder of Barnes & Noble, said in an internal memorandum predicting a dreadful holiday shopping season, as first reported in The Wall Street Journal last week, that “never in all my years as a bookseller have I seen a retail climate as poor as the one we are in.”
Last week HarperCollins, the books division of the News Corporation, reported that fiscal first-quarter operating income had slid to $3 million from $36 million a year earlier, despite its publication of the Oprah Winfrey-anointed novel “The Story of Edgar Sawtelle” by David Wroblewski. A week earlier Doubleday Publishing Group, a unit of Random House, laid off 16 people, a 10 percent cut in staff. At the time the company said the move did not presage further layoffs in other publishing divisions, but industry insiders said they would not be surprised to see more.
Also this month Rodale, the magazine and book publisher, laid off 14 people in its book division, a little more than 7 percent of the staff.
Long before the current financial crisis, Borders Group, struggling against online and big-box retailers, had announced it was looking at a potential sale of itself. Given current economic conditions, publishers are nervously watching to see what happens with the company.
Now, most everyone in publishing is bracing for a difficult holiday season while trying to remain optimistic about the enduring allure of books.
“A book is still this incredibly lovely, respectable gift,” said Jamie Raab, publisher of Grand Central Publishing, and is “a lot cheaper than the other luxury items that people tend to buy at Christmas.”
“So we could get lucky and see that it really works in our favor,” she added.
Grand Central is enjoying strong sales of titles by the novelists Nelson DeMille and Nicholas Sparks, as well as of “Dewey: The Small-Town Library Cat Who Touched the World,” but it also is waiting to see how Ted Turner’s “Call Me Ted,” for which it spent more than $5 million, will sell. Ms. Raab said the company had printed 625,000 copies and had shipped more than 500,000.
With several publishers reporting that booksellers were cutting orders for January, Ms. Raab acknowledged that she was concerned about a post-New Year’s downturn. “You know to a certain extent people will be in the stores during the holidays,” she said. “What will happen once there is no reason to be in the stores?”
Booksellers are trying new tactics to help ring up sales. At Book Passage, an independent bookseller in San Francisco and Corte Madera, Calif., Elaine Petrocelli, an owner, said she recently instituted a policy giving priority seating at book readings to those who purchase the book. Last month she sold 160 copies at a reading by Katherine Neville, author of “The Fire,” a thriller about a chess prodigy.
Still, Ms. Petrocelli said she had noticed an overall decline in foot traffic at her two stores compared with this time last year. As a result, she said, she has decided not to hire holiday-season help. Usually she hires three or four people part time.
Not surprisingly, publishers, too, are looking for ways to cut costs. Print runs are being scrutinized, and companies are trying to reduce the number of unsold copies that are returned by booksellers, a painful practice in the best of times.
Some publishers are also looking at their (famously generous) travel and entertainment budgets. Steve Ross, publisher of Collins, a division of HarperCollins, said he recently took a job candidate for a drink at a Midtown hotel and was shocked by the $22 price for cocktails. “I think it will be awhile before I will have the pleasure of meeting anybody there,” Mr. Ross said.
For now, both publishers and agents said the penny pinching was not yet sinking seven-figure book deals. Although some might be cautious about signing a debut novelist, most publishers said they were still aggressively pursuing deals for celebrity books and others with natural best-seller prospects. Last month Little, Brown & Company signed a deal with the comedian Tina Fey for a sum reported as more than $5 million, and Jerry Seinfeld was out with a book proposal this week that some publishers suggested could go for a high seven-figure advance.
“The paradox is we have to continue to acquire books and compete against each other in a tough marketplace,” said Jonathan Burnham, publisher of Harper, an imprint of HarperCollins. “We’re trying to be fiscally responsible about royalty advances, and yet the big books are the books that everybody wants, so we’re still in this climate of having to pay large levels of money in these auctions. You can’t really step away from that.”
Christy Fletcher, a literary agent in Manhattan, said royalty advances for so-called midlist authors could come under pressure. “Something may sell for $50,000 that would have sold for $100,000 a year ago,” she said.
Publishers continue to plan for blockbuster sales of marquee-brand books. Free Press, an imprint of Simon & Schuster, for example, has shipped 1.25 million copies of “You: Being Beautiful — The Owner’s Manual to Inner and Outer Beauty,” Michael F. Roizen and Mehmet C. Oz’s next book in their best-selling series of advice titles, which goes on sale on Tuesday. HarperCollins has shipped more than 300,000 copies of “The Hour I First Believed,” the new novel by Wally Lamb. (In March that publisher had announced a first-print run of half a million, though these numbers tend to be exaggerated.)
One silver lining of the downturn: Because many books are not selling as well as they might have in a better economy, it does not take nearly as many copies to have bragging rights about being a best seller.
There still may be something to the theory, much circulated these days, that books can provide an escape from financial misery. When “Gone With the Wind” was published in 1936 during the Great Depression, it sold a million copies in its first year and stayed at No. 1 on best-seller lists for two straight years — before it was a movie tie-in.
Then again, they didn’t have the Internet or television back then. But some publishing insiders suggested that readers might be looking for a respite from the digital world.
“I think that people have not been reading for the past year because they’ve been checking political blogs every 20 minutes,” said Larry Weissman, a literary agent. “At some point I think people are going to say, ‘You know what, this is not nourishing.’ I think and I hope — and maybe it’s just blind hope — I think there is a yearning for authenticity out there, and people are going to go back to the things that really matter, and one of those things, I hope, will be reading books.”
As a book reviewer I find this story to be slightly ironic. There are certain books that I am really interested in reviewing. Book reviews sell books. In the article it mentioned Harper Collins and the fact that their sales have really declined. Over the past year I have contacted publicists at Harper Collins to request review copies of books that I really wanted to cover for readers of the Dayton Daily News. My efforts have been fruitless. They don’t send the books. Rupert Murdoch owns Harper Collins. Rupert, do you know how that business is being run?
Then there’s the new Ted Turner book which is mentioned in the article. Turner’s publisher paid him a 5 million dollar advance. How will they recoup that money? By selling many copies of the book. Favorable book reviews will certainly help them to do that.
Some readers of this blog might recall that in the spring I attended a party for Ted Turner at Larry King’s house in Beverly Hills. Turner’s publisher spent big bucks that night to entertain people like me to create some buzz for Turner’s book. I spoke to Ted Turner that evening and I told him that I was excited about the prospect of reviewing his book.
The book just came out. Don’t you suppose that his publisher might have sent me a copy to review? That would seem to be an obvious thing to do, right? In my dreams.
Ted, I’m sorry but your publisher seems to have dropped that 5 million dollar ball. They never sent me the book so I have not read it and I cannot review it. I don’t make a habit out of apologizing to billionaires.
Don’t get me wrong, most publishers do a superb job of getting books to reviewers. Random House is fantastic. So is Penguin. Simon & Schuster do a decent job. Norton is excellent. Farrar, Straus and Giroux is marvelous.
Then there’s Harper Collins. I want to review some of their stuff. Now and then I’ll get something but where’s the new Wally Lamb? The new Francine Prose?
Grand Central, where the heck is CALL ME TED by Ted Turner? I would really like to help you guys out but perhaps Darwin was correct in his evolutionary theories? The strong do survive. In these tough times for publishing we’ll find out soon who the fittest ones really are. The publishers who know how to sell books have the advantage. Publishers are only as good as the people who serve them in the trenches. When a publicist cannot be bothered to send a book to a reviewer who requested it then there is a ripple effect that extends all the way down to that publisher’s bottom line.
Rupert! Ted! All you billionaires out there - hire competent publicists to promote your books. Together, we can turn this thing around.
(note from the Department of small MIRACLES: I requested the new Wally Lamb from Harper Collins and the book just arrived. Yay! It had nothing to do with my whining in this post but I do believe that when we put it out there by expressing our desires verbally that good things can happen).
(Addendum #2-Within 24 hours of my request to Harper Collins they got me the new Wally Lamb book AND I just booked an interview with Wally. I love working with real pros. I guess I wasn’t talking to the right people over at Harper??)
Vick Mickunas
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